<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ISPRS-Archives</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ISPRS-Archives</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Int. Arch. Photogramm. Remote Sens. Spatial Inf. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2194-9034</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/isprs-archives-XLI-B2-223-2016</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>FUTURE ESTIMATION OF CONVENIENCE LIVING FACILITIES WITHDRAWAL  DUE TO POPULATION DECLINE ALL OVER JAPAN FROM 2010 TO 2040  - FOCUS ON SUPERMARKETS, CONVENIENCE STORES AND DRUGSTORES</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nishimoto</surname>
<given-names>Yuka</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Akiyama</surname>
<given-names>Yuki</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shibasaki</surname>
<given-names>Ryosuke</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Graduate School of Frontier Science, The University of Tokyo, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Center for Spatial Information Science, The University of Tokyo, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>07</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>XLI-B2</volume>
<fpage>223</fpage>
<lpage>226</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2016 Yuka Nishimoto et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2016</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLI-B2/223/2016/isprs-archives-XLI-B2-223-2016.html">This article is available from https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLI-B2/223/2016/isprs-archives-XLI-B2-223-2016.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLI-B2/223/2016/isprs-archives-XLI-B2-223-2016.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLI-B2/223/2016/isprs-archives-XLI-B2-223-2016.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Population explosion is considered to be one of the most crucial problems in the world. However, in Japan, the opposite problem:
population decline has become serious now. Japanese population is estimated to decrease by twenty millions in 2040. This negative
situation will cause to increase areas where many residents cannot make a daily living all over Japan because many convenience
living facilities such as supermarkets, convenience stores and drugstores will be difficult to maintain their market area population
due to future population decline.
&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;
In our research, we used point data of convenience living facilities developed by address geocoding of digital telephone directory and
point data of future population projection developed by distribution of Japanese official population projection data proportionally
among the building volume of digital residential map, which can monitor building volumes all over Japan.
&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;
In conclusion, we estimated that various convenience living facilities in Japan will shrink and close by population decline in near
future. In particular, it is cleared that approximately 14.7% of supermarkets will be possible to withdraw all over Japan by 2040. In
addition, it is cleared that over 40% of supermarkets in some countryside prefectures will be possible to withdraw by 2040. Thus, we
estimated future distributions of convenience living facilities that cannot maintain their market area population due to future
population decline. Moreover, we estimated the number of people that they will become inconvenience in buying fresh foods.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="4"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>