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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ISPRS-Archives</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ISPRS-Archives</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Int. Arch. Photogramm. Remote Sens. Spatial Inf. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2194-9034</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/isprs-archives-XLIX-B3-2026-281-2026</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>POD-AM-HAR: Cycle-to-Cycle Forecasting of Land Surface Dynamics in Latent Space</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tang</surname>
<given-names>Weidong</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Zheng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of Electronic Engineering, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Aerospace Information Research Institute, CAS, Beijing, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>30</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>XLIX-B3-2026</volume>
<fpage>281</fpage>
<lpage>286</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Weidong Tang</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLIX-B3-2026/281/2026/isprs-archives-XLIX-B3-2026-281-2026.html">This article is available from https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLIX-B3-2026/281/2026/isprs-archives-XLIX-B3-2026-281-2026.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLIX-B3-2026/281/2026/isprs-archives-XLIX-B3-2026-281-2026.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLIX-B3-2026/281/2026/isprs-archives-XLIX-B3-2026-281-2026.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Land surface dynamics exhibit strong periodic patterns, yet their interannual variations pose challenges for accurate forecasting. This paper proposes a POD-AM-HAR framework that shifts prediction from point-wise to cycle-to-cycle forecasting. The framework integrates Proper Orthogonal Decomposition for dimensionality reduction, Harmonic analysis Ridge regularization for small-sample stability. Validation on 10-year MODIS NDVI data from Ningxia, China, shows the framework effectively captures interannual evolution and maintains robust performance with limited training cycles.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="6"/></counts>
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