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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ISPRS-Archives</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ISPRS-Archives</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Int. Arch. Photogramm. Remote Sens. Spatial Inf. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2194-9034</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/isprs-archives-XLVIII-3-2024-155-2024</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Land Use and Land Cover Change Analysis in Brazilian Urban centres: an approach using Cellular Automata and Neural Networks</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Esteves</surname>
<given-names>Rodrigo José Zonzin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Velastegui-Montoya</surname>
<given-names>Andrés</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pujatti</surname>
<given-names>Mario Arthur Scalfani</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Silvestre</surname>
<given-names>Leonardo José</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pereira</surname>
<given-names>Marconi de Arruda</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Departamento de Tecnologias (DTECH), Universidade Federal de São João del Rei (UFSJ), Ouro Branco, Brazil</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Departamento de Ciência da Computação (DCOMP), Universidade Federal de São João del Rei, São João del Rei, Brazil</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Centro de Investigación y Proyectos Aplicados a las Ciencias de la Tierra (CIPAT), ESPOL Polytechnic University, Guayaquil, Ecuador</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Engineering in Earth Sciences FICT, ESPOL Polytechnic University, Guayaquil, Ecuador</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Departamento de Computação e Eletrônica (DCE), Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo (UFES), São Mateus, Brazil</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>07</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>XLVIII-3-2024</volume>
<fpage>155</fpage>
<lpage>161</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2024 Rodrigo José Zonzin Esteves et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2024</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLVIII-3-2024/155/2024/isprs-archives-XLVIII-3-2024-155-2024.html">This article is available from https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLVIII-3-2024/155/2024/isprs-archives-XLVIII-3-2024-155-2024.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLVIII-3-2024/155/2024/isprs-archives-XLVIII-3-2024-155-2024.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://isprs-archives.copernicus.org/articles/XLVIII-3-2024/155/2024/isprs-archives-XLVIII-3-2024-155-2024.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>During the 1970s, Brazil experienced most of its population living in cities for the first time. Historically, urbanization has been intensely related to land use and cover changes, amplifying climatic and ecological stress in recently established metropolises. This study aims to analyze, through classified Remote Sensing images and the Cellular Automata and Artificial Neural Networks (CA-ANN) machine learning model, land use and land cover trends in regions that have experienced accentuated demographic growth in the decades 2000 and 2010. The methodology consists of: i) identifying areas with a high density of buildings, ii) defining the variables that drive land use change, and iii) proposing a methodology for predicting changes in the urban area. The results indicate that the urban class prediction presented high precision (&amp;ge; 0.74) and recall (&amp;ge; 0.86) indices. Forest class also presented a high precision score (&amp;ge;0.72), showing an elevated prediction hit rate. Furthermore, the proposed methodology improved the results obtained in previous works for the same cities, presenting higher Kappa values in all cases.</p>
</abstract>
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