Sunkoshi landslide in Nepal and its possible impact in India: A remote sensing based appraisal

Abstract. A devastating landslide that killed at least 156 people occurred on the right bank of Sunkoshi river at village Jure, 70 km northeast of Kathmandu in Nepal. It not only affected hydroelectric projects in the near vicinity but also had potential to flood large tracts of downstream area in Nepal and north Bihar. Timely action by Nepal Army and Indian authorities have averted a major disaster but satellite data analysis (using IRS Resourcesat-2 LISS IV, WorldView-2, RISAT-1, Radarsat-2 etc.) reveal that the site was easily identifiable on satellite image as a potential landslide zone that has been affected by landslide related mass wasting in the past. It was reactivated and intermittently slided during 2000–2012 and finally when the whole mass came down on 2nd August 2014 pushing materials up to the opposite slope, a landslide dammed lake was formed on Sunkoshi river which extended up to a distance of 2.5–3 km as observed on 5–6th August on satellite images and the volume was estimated to be around 8.26–10.5 MCM, which needs to be released safely to avert any further disaster. Attempt is made to simulate the event to assess the run out and debris thickness using process based model. Satellite observation (using IRS Resourcesat-2 LISS IV, WorldView-2, RISAT-1, Radarsat-2 etc.), aided by hydrological data obtained through telemetry immensely helped to assess the landslide dimension, lake extent, volume, discharge, water level and travel time of water in Sunkoshi river. But the question remains how to manage the large amount of debris that Sunkoshi brings to its downstream areas causing river aggradations that eventually increases the flood risk. In such situations, the most immediate landslide remedial measures are four fold: monitoring of landslide, dam and reservoir using remote sensing and hydrological observations, controlled release of water, water discharge management at Kosi barrage and mechanism/preparedness for evacuation. The Sunkoshi landslide has brought to forefront the core issue of analysing mass wasting in all major river valleys outside Indian territory that can pose risk to Indian population. In this regard, it is needless to say that remotely sensed images through Indian Remote Sensing satellites and many other satellites can provide most crucial information in short time.