Assessment of land restoration from optical satellite image time-series

Abstract. Ecosystem conservation and restoration is recognized by the international community as a key strategy for human well-being as well as our planet’s health. Assessing the efficiency of actions implemented in this context is essential, as their application on the ground may prove challenging. In the present paper, we present a methodology for characterising vegetation regeneration. This methodology has been developed and tested at the scale of the Sao Paulo state. It is based on two successive steps. Firstly, annual land cover maps are produced with breakpoints detection and Random Forest classification. This process is performed on biophysical variables derived from more than 10 000 optical images (2016 – 2021 included) and 4774 reference data. Secondly, we applied an expert-based rules algorithm to derive land regeneration map from annual land cover time series. The distinction is made between natural and anthropogenic regeneration. The accuracy assessment shows an overall accuracy of more than 80% for both the annual land cover maps and the regeneration map.